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  • China’s Trillion-Yuan Stimulus, Musk’s 5-Year Promise, and a Fintech IPO That Popped 🚀

China’s Trillion-Yuan Stimulus, Musk’s 5-Year Promise, and a Fintech IPO That Popped 🚀

Markets dip slightly; China injects billions; Musk stays at Tesla; Insiders & hedge funds move; eToro IPO pops 34%; Google bets on AI future; Moderna & D-Wave soar; EV/EBITDA decoded.

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📈 Market Indices Update

  • S&P 500: ↓ 0.39% to 5,940.46 – The index slipped slightly, reflecting cautious investor sentiment.

  • Dow Jones: ↓ 0.27% to 42,677.24 – The Dow saw a modest decline amid light trading volume.

  • Nasdaq: ↓ 0.38% to 19,142.72 – Tech stocks edged lower following a soft session.

  • Gold (Spot $/Oz): ↑ 1.89% to $3,307.50/oz – Gold extended its rally as investors sought safe-haven assets.

  • 10-Yr Treasury Yield: ↑ 0.68% to 4.46% – Yields climbed on expectations of sticky inflation and delayed rate cuts.

  • EUR/USD: 1.1273 (−1.54% over 30 days) – The euro remained stable today but has weakened over the past month.

  • USD/JPY: ¥144.68 (−0.11%) – The dollar dipped slightly against the yen, reflecting a cautious risk outlook.

  • Bitcoin: ↑ 1.46% to $105,939 – Bitcoin posted modest gains, continuing its recent rebound.

🔍 Summary: Markets ended the week with mixed signals—equities dipped slightly, gold surged, and Bitcoin rose, as investors recalibrated around economic data and inflation expectations.

Data as of market close, 4:00pm ET

📢 Top 3 Market Stories You Should Care About

1️⃣ China Cuts Rates, Injects ¥1 Trillion to Boost Economy (Source)

  • China’s central bank slashed key lending rates to reignite growth.

  • Injected ¥1 trillion (~$140B USD) in liquidity to support businesses and markets.

  • The move targets sluggish domestic demand and weakening economic momentum.

  • Market Reaction: Chinese stocks rallied; global commodities saw a boost.

🔎 Why It Matters: Beijing’s stimulus may stabilize markets short-term—but can it overcome trade headwinds and avoid overheating the economy?

2️⃣ U.S. Credit Downgrade Sends Ripple Effects Through Bond Market (Source)

  • Moody’s downgraded U.S. credit from Aaa to Aa1, citing rising debt and political dysfunction.

  • The 10-Yr Treasury yield jumped to 4.46%, its highest level in over 6 months.

  • Demand for tax-free municipal bonds surged, with inflows topping $1.2 billion last week.

🔎 Why It Matters: The downgrade raises borrowing costs for the U.S.—and signals that investors may increasingly favor muni bonds to protect returns.

3️⃣ Elon Musk Commits to Tesla CEO Role for “At Least 5 Years” (Source)

  • Musk confirmed he’ll remain CEO through 2030, amid investor concerns over leadership stability.

  • Tesla plans to invest $10B+ in new gigafactories and expand its AI robotics division.

  • Shares are down -9.4% YTD, underperforming the broader Nasdaq.

  • Market Reaction: $TSLA ( ▲ 0.51% ) stock rose on the news, signaling relief among investors.

🔎 What 5 Rich & Powerful Are Buying

📈 Stephen Hemsley – CEO, UnitedHealth Group $UNH ( ▲ 1.8% ) 
→ Bought 86,700 shares at $288.57, totaling $25M
→ CFO John Rex and multiple board members also bought stock
→ Shares rebounded +8.2% to $315.89 post-disclosure

📉 Meta Platforms – Insider Sales $META ( ▼ 0.52% ) 
→ CFO Susan Li sold 6,874 shares ($4.53M) on May 16
→ COO Javier Olivan sold 2,615 shares ($1.72M)

📈 Berkshire Hathaway – Q1 2025 Portfolio Update
→ No new positions established, but doubled stakes in Pool Corp $POOL ( ▼ 2.48% ), and Constellation Brands $STZ ( ▼ 1.84% ).
→ Added to existing positions in Occidental Petroleum, Verisign, Sirius XM , and Domino's Pizza.
→ Reduced holdings in Bank of America, Capital One, and fully exited Citigroup

💊 Weyerhaeuser $WY ( ▼ 1.09% ) – $1B Buyback Program 
→ Authorized a new $1B share buyback (~5% of market cap)


💰 Chubb Ltd. $CB ( ▼ 0.89% ) – $5B Share Buyback
→ Part of strategy to return capital and boost EPS

🚀 Hedge Funds – Loading Up on Tesla & Palantir
$675M in net inflows to Tesla, $439M to Palantir

🔥 IPO of the Week

💰 Snapshot:

  • IPO Date: May 14, 2025

  • Ticker: $ETOR ( ▲ 4.5% ) (Nasdaq)

  • Shares Offered: 11.9 million

  • IPO Price: $52 per share

  • Capital Raised: $620 million

  • Opening Price: $69.69 (+34%)

  • Current Price: $66.14

  • Valuation: $5.6 billion

📊 Financial Highlights (2024):

  • Revenue: $12.6B

  • Net Income: $192M

  • Crypto Trading Revenue: $12.15B (nearly quadrupled YoY)

  • Assets Under Management (AUM): $16.6B

🧠 Why It Matters:

eToro's successful IPO, marked by a 34% surge on its debut, signals renewed investor appetite for fintech and crypto-exposed platforms. The company's strong financial performance and global user base position it as a significant player in the online trading space.

📊 Google I/O 2025 – The 6 Biggest AI Announcements

  • 🤖 Gemini Everywhere: The Rise of Agentic AI
    Google’s most powerful model, Gemini 2.5 Pro, is now embedded across Search, Gmail, Docs, Chrome, and Android, unlocking new "agentic AI" capabilities—tools that understand your intent and take actions for you (e.g., booking flights, making purchases).

  • 🧠 Project Astra: The Future of AI Assistants
    Introduced as Google’s vision for a universal AI agent, Project Astra understands video, audio, and real-world context in real time, enabling more fluid, responsive interactions across devices.

  • 🔍 AI Overhaul of Google Search
    Google’s “AI Mode” in Search is now rolling out to all U.S. users, transforming how people engage with information—handling complex, conversational queries with ease.

  • 🎬 Generative Media Breakthrough: Veo 3 & Flow
    Google unveiled Veo 3, an AI model that can generate video with synchronized audio, and Flow, a filmmaking tool combining Veo 3 and Imagen 4—pushing the boundaries of AI-powered creativity.

  • 🥽 Android XR & Smart Glasses
    Google revealed its bold AR vision with Android XR, showcasing AI-integrated smart glasses that merge digital overlays with real-world environments through live visual intelligence.

  • 🛠️ Next-Gen Developer Tools: Gemini Code Assist & Stitch
    Developers get major upgrades with Gemini Code Assist (a GitHub Copilot rival now in general release), and Stitch, a new AI tool for generating UI components—making AI app development faster and smarter.

🚀 Biggest Market Movers

📈 Top 3 Winners

📉 Top 3 Losers

💡 Financial Term of the Week: EV/EBITDA

EV/EBITDA stands for Enterprise Value to Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation, and Amortization. It’s a popular valuation metric used to compare companies regardless of capital structure.

Why It Matters:

Unlike P/E, EV/EBITDA accounts for debt and cash, making it a more accurate measure of a company’s true market value—especially useful when comparing companies with different financing models.

Formula:
EV/EBITDA = (Market Cap + Debt − Cash) ÷ EBITDA

Example:
A company with a $10B enterprise value and $1B EBITDA has an EV/EBITDA of 10X.

Thanks for reading and staying ahead of the market with us. Stay smart with your money. See you in the next edition! 👊💡

— Dan

Disclaimer & Important Notice: This newsletter is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. The content is based on publicly available information and our analysis but should not be considered a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Market Cheat Sheet makes no guarantees regarding accuracy, completeness, or timeliness. Readers should conduct their own research and consult a licensed financial professional before making investment decisions. We are not responsible for any financial losses resulting from reliance on this content. Additionally, we are not affiliated with any mentioned companies, stocks, or individuals unless explicitly stated. By reading this newsletter, you acknowledge that Market Cheat Sheet is not liable for any investment decisions or outcomes.

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