📩 Market Cheat Sheet – The Fed Holds, China Sells, and AI Stocks Surge 🚀

📢 Top 3 Market Stories You Should Care About

1. 🏦 Nikola Files for Bankruptcy (WSJ)

• EV truck maker Nikola is shutting down after burning through billions in losses.

• Hydrogen fuel challenges and production costs proved too much to handle.

• Once worth more than Ford, now another cautionary tale for EV startups.

🚨 Why It Matters: The EV space remains risky—high costs and infrastructure gaps make survival tough.

2. 🌐 China Dumps U.S. Treasuries (FT)

• China’s holdings of U.S. debt hit a 15-year low, now at $759B.

• Shifting to gold and non-U.S. assets amid geopolitical tensions.

• Could shake up global markets if selling accelerates.

💰 Why It Matters: A major shift in how global superpowers manage risk.

3. 📉 Fed Says No Rate Cuts Yet (WSJ)

• Fed minutes confirm officials are in no rush to cut rates.

• Inflation is still too high—they want "real progress" before acting.

• Impact: Borrowing costs stay up, markets may stay volatile.

📊 Why It Matters: No rate cuts means higher costs for businesses, mortgages, and stocks.

🔎 What 5 Rich & Powerful Are Buying

📈 Jim Fitterling – CEO, Dow Inc.
→ Bought $1.1M of $DOW
→ Insider buy signals confidence in Dow’s future outlook

📈 Warren Buffett – CEO, Berkshire Hathaway
→ Bought $15.6M of $VRSN
→ Buffett continues to increase exposure to VeriSign

📈 Apple Inc. – Tech Giant
→ Share Buyback worth $70B of $AAPL
→ Continuing aggressive stock repurchases to reduce outstanding shares

📉 Marc Benioff – CEO, Salesforce
→ Selling shares of $CRM (Amount Not Disclosed)
→ Likely part of planned diversification, but raises questions on insider sentiment

🔍 Insider Buys = Confidence. Insider Sells? Not Always Bearish.

🔥 Underrated Stock of the Week: Constellation Energy ($CEG)

📚 Company Overview: Constellation Energy is the largest carbon-free energy producer in the U.S., recently expanding via a $26.6B acquisition of Calpine.

📊 Key Financials & Metrics:

• Stock Price: $104.00

• Market Cap: $85.6B

• Revenue Growth: +15% YoY

• Analysts’ 12-Month Target: $120 (+15%)

• YTD Change: +40%

💡 Why It Matters: With growing AI-driven electricity demand and a clean energy push, Constellation could be a future powerhouse.

💰 Hot Take: Is Nvidia’s Valuation Justified? ($NVDA)

📚 Company Overview: Nvidia dominates the AI computing space, with record-breaking revenues and growing reliance from tech giants like Amazon & Microsoft.

📊 Key Financials & Metrics:

• Stock Price: $139.23

• Market Cap: $3.41T

• Revenue Growth: +91% YTD

• P/E Ratio: 54.98x

🔥 Why It Matters: Despite recent volatility, Nvidia remains the backbone of AI infrastructure. But at a 55x P/E, is it too hot to handle?

🚀 Biggest Market Movers

Top 3 Gainers:

1. Garmin Ltd. (GRMN) +12.6% – Strong sales in fitness & outdoor devices. (Source)

2. Microchip Tech (MCHP) +9.9% – Launched new AI coding assistant. (Source)

3. Analog Devices (ADI) +9.7% – Surpassed earnings estimates & announced buybacks. (Source)

Top 3 Losers:

1. Celanese Corp (CE) -21.4% – Posted a $1.4B loss. (Source)

2. Axon Enterprise (AXON) -16.4% – Analyst downgrade. (Source)

3. Cadence Design (CDNS) -8.8% – Weak guidance & slowing auto demand. (Source)

📊 One Chart That Explains Everything

📈 "The 'Magnificent 7' vs. S&P 500: Who’s Really Driving the Market?"

Over the last 5 years, the Magnificent 7 (Apple, Nvidia, Amazon, etc.) have quadrupled in value, vastly outpacing the S&P 500.

💡 Why It Matters:

• The market’s growth is increasingly tied to just 7 stocks.

• A pullback in Big Tech could drag everything down.

• Are investors diversified enough, or is the S&P 500 really a tech ETF in disguise?

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