πŸ“‰ Markets Erase All 2025 Gains in a Brutal Week

πŸ”Ž Tech sell-off, Fed uncertainty, Bitcoin crash, and new tariffs shake global markets.

πŸ“ˆ Market Indices & Treasury Update​

  • S&P 500: ↓ 1% to 5,954 – The S&P 500 wrapped up its worst week of 2025.

  • Dow Jones: ↑ 1% to 43,841 – Financial sector strength drove gains.

  • Nasdaq: ↓ 3.5% to 18,847 – Tech hit by weak earnings and trade tensions.

  • EUR/USD: 1.05 ↑ 0.4% – Euro strengthened amid U.S. economic uncertainty.

  • USD/JPY: 149.05 ↓ 0.4% – Yen gained as U.S. yields declined.

  • Bitcoin: $86,669 ↓ 7.8% – Dropped amid tariff and growth concerns.

  • Gold: $2,904/oz ↓ 0.9% – Profit-taking after recent highs.

  • 10-Year Treasury Yield: 4.24% ↓ – Investors turned defensive on slowdown fears.

πŸ” Summary: Markets faced volatility as trade tensions and economic slowdown fears pressured equities, while investors sought safety in bonds and the yen.

Data as of Friday, February 28, 2025, at 4:00 PM ET, including week-to-date performance.

πŸ“’ Top 3 Market Stories You Should Care About

1️⃣ Trump and Zelensky's Heated Oval Office Clash (WSJ)

  • Meeting intended to strengthen U.S.-Ukraine relations ended abruptly.

  • President Trump accused President Zelensky of "gambling with World War III."

  • Joint press conference and proposed minerals deal were canceled.​

πŸ’‘ Why It Matters: This confrontation raises concerns about future U.S. support for Ukraine amid ongoing Russian aggression.​ (Watch their 40-min conversation)

2️⃣ Bitcoin Faces Significant Losses Amid Market Turbulence (FT)

  • Cryptocurrency market shed over $800 billion recently.​

  • Bitcoin's value dropped 17% in the past month, from $101k to now at $84k.​

  • Investors pulled nearly $1 billion from Bitcoin ETFs in a single day.​

πŸ’‘ Takeaway: The crypto market's volatility highlights investor uncertainty and the impact of unmet policy expectations.​

3️⃣ US Confirms New Tariffs on Canada, Mexico, China (CNBC)

  • πŸ‡¨πŸ‡¦πŸ‡²πŸ‡½ 25% tariffs on imports from Canada & Mexico, effective March 4.

  • πŸ‡¨πŸ‡³ 10% additional tariffs on Chinese goods, also starting March 4.

  • πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί Threat of 25% tariffs on European Union imports.

πŸ’‘ Key Question: Will these tariffs escalate global trade tensions and slow economic growth?

πŸ”Ž What 5 Rich & Powerful Are Buying

πŸ“ˆ Donald Trump Jr. & Eric Trump – Dominari Holdings ($DOMH) (Source)
β†’ Each acquired a 6.71% stake, totaling $13.5 million
β†’ Joined the advisory board; stock surged +27% post-announcement

πŸ’° Nvidia – Aggressive Stock Buyback (Source)
β†’ Repurchased 29 million shares for $3.7 billion (Jan 27 - Feb 21, 2025)
β†’ Accelerated buybacks after stock dip due to AI market concerns

πŸš€ ARKK ETF – Recent Trades (Source)
β†’ Bought: $TEM, $IRDM – Expanding exposure to telecom & satellite communications
β†’ Sold: $DKNG, $SOFI, $ROKU – Reducing fintech & streaming exposure

πŸ“‰ Josh Silverman – CEO, Etsy (Source) 
β†’ Plans to sell 987,281 shares of $ETSY, Total Value: $52 million 
β†’ Utilizing a Rule 10b5-1 plan to systematically sell shares over time

πŸ’Š $GSK – Β£2 Billion Share Buyback Program (Source)
β†’ Total program worth Β£2 billion ($2.5B USD)
β†’ Expected to return excess capital and enhance EPS

πŸ” Big money is making movesβ€”watch these stocks for potential momentum shifts! πŸš€

πŸ”₯ Underrated Stock of the Week: $UBER

πŸ“š Company Overview:
Uber is a global leader in ride-hailing and food delivery services, operating in over 70 countries. Beyond transportation, Uber is expanding into autonomous vehicles and freight services, aiming to revolutionize urban mobility.

πŸ“Š Key Financials & Metrics:

  • Stock Price: $76.01

  • P/E Ratio: 40.5x

  • Market Cap: $158.8B

  • Revenue Growth: +17.5% YoY

  • EPS Growth: +108.7% YoY

  • EV/NTM Revenue: 4.08x

  • Analysts’ 12-Month Target: $89.00 (+17%)

  • 30-Day Change: +11%

  • YTD Change: +26%

πŸ’ͺ Pros: Strong market position with diversified services; consistent revenue growth.

πŸ’© Cons: Faces regulatory challenges and intense competition in autonomous vehicles from companies like Waymo and Tesla, which could disrupt Uber’s long-term strategy.

πŸ’° Hot Take: Is $AFRM Overhyped and Overvalued?

πŸ“š Company Overview:
Affirm is a fintech company that offers "buy now, pay later" (BNPL) services, allowing consumers to make purchases and pay over time without hidden fees or compounding interest. Affirm partners with various merchants to provide flexible payment solutions at the point of sale.

πŸ“Š Key Financials & Metrics:

  • Stock Price: $64.15

  • P/E Ratio: N/A (Not profitable)

  • Market Cap: $19B

  • Revenue Growth: +47.7% YoY

  • EPS Growth: N/A (Not profitable)

  • EV/NTM Revenue: 9.25x

  • Analysts’ 12-Month Target: $70.24 (+9.5%)

  • 30-Day Change: +11%

  • YTD Change: +5.3%

πŸ’ͺ Pros:
β†’ Strong revenue growth and recent profitability signal business strength.
β†’ Expanding partnerships with major retailers like Amazon & Walmart.

πŸ’© Cons:
β†’ Intense competition from Apple, PayPal, and banks threatens market share.
β†’ Economic downturn risks as consumer spending weakens.
β†’ Higher funding costs due to high interest rates affecting profitability.

πŸ” Takeaway: Affirm has strong growth potential, but its high valuation, competitive pressure, and macro risks make it look overpriced at current levels.

πŸ“Š Sector Spotlight: AI Datacenters – The New Digital Gold Rush

πŸ’‘ Why It Matters

  • AI models like ChatGPT and Gemini need massive computing powerβ€”leading to a booming demand for datacenters.

  • AI-driven demand is outpacing supply, pushing hyperscalers (AWS, Google Cloud, Microsoft Azure) to race for capacity.

  • Power is the new bottleneckβ€”securing enough electricity is a bigger challenge than building datacenters.

πŸ“ˆ Key Industry Metrics

  • AI Compute Demand: Expected to grow 10X by 2030.

  • Global Datacenter CapEx: $500B+ by 2027, with AI driving most of the growth.

  • Power Consumption: AI training clusters can use 50MW+ per facilityβ€”equivalent to a small city.

  • Land Rush: Hyperscalers & private equity are buying land near power grids to future-proof AI expansion.

πŸ“Š Market Leaders

βš–οΈ Bull vs. Bear Case

πŸ‚ Bull Case (Why It Could Boom)
βœ”οΈ AI demand insatiable, long-term growth locked in.
βœ”οΈ Governments incentivizing domestic AI infrastructure.
βœ”οΈ Tech giants investing billions in AI cloud & datacenters.

🐻 Bear Case (Risks to Watch)
❌ Power shortages could slow expansion.
❌ Regulatory hurdles on land use, energy consumption, and emissions.
❌ High capex & interest rates could pressure REITs and infrastructure providers.

πŸš€ Earnings Whiplash: Biggest Market Movers (Feb 24–28, 2025)

πŸ“ˆ Top 3 Gainers

  • Elastic (ESTC) +9.8% – Robust demand for AI-related products. (Source)

  • Monster Beverage Corp. (MNST) +5.3% – Beat revenue estimates, boosting investor confidence. ​(Source)

  • SoundHound AI Inc. (SOUN) +17.5% – Strong earnings and raised 2025 revenue outlook. ​(Source)

πŸ“‰ Top 3 Losers

  •  NetApp, Inc. (NTAP) -16.0% – Missed revenue forecasts and issued weak guidance. (Source)

  • Dell Technologies Inc. (DELL) -4.7% – Revenue shortfalls and cautious outlook. (Source)

  • Duolingo, Inc. (DUOL) -16.3% – Despite reporting record revenue and user growth, the stock fell due to an earnings miss and concerns over gross margins.​ (Source)

Stock performance based on February 24-28, 2025 trading data.

πŸ’Ή Next Week in Review

🌎 Key Events

  • Mon: ISM Manufacturing PMI

  • Wed: ADP Jobs, JOLTS Report

  • Thu: Fed Chair Powell Speaks

  • Fri: Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP), OPEC+ meeting

πŸ“Š Earnings to Watch

  • Tue: Salesforce ($CRM), HP ($HPQ)

  • Wed: Snowflake ($SNOW), CrowdStrike ($CRWD)

  • Thu: Broadcom ($AVGO), Dell ($DELL)

πŸ™Œ Thanks for Subscribing!

I'm still in beta mode, so your feedback is super valuable! Reply with what you liked, what you didn’t, and any recommendationsβ€”I’m here to make this better for you.

Also, if you enjoyed this, please share this link with friends & family to help grow this project organically. Your support means everything! πŸš€

β€” Dan

Disclaimer & Important Notice: This newsletter is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial, legal, or investment advice. The content provided is based on publicly available information and our analysis but does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Market Cheat Sheet does not guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or timeliness of the information presented. Readers should conduct their own research and consult with a licensed financial professional before making any investment decisions. We are not responsible for any financial losses that may result from reliance on the information provided. Additionally, we do not have any direct affiliations with the companies, stocks, or individuals mentioned in this newsletter unless explicitly disclosed. This newsletter may include references to third-party sources for news, stock updates, or analysis. We are not liable for errors, misinterpretations, or outdated information from external sources. By reading and engaging with this newsletter, you acknowledge and agree that Market Cheat Sheet and its team are not liable for any investment decisions or outcomes resulting from the use of this content.

Reply

or to participate.