Markets Shrug, But Main Street Panics: Consumer Confidence Crashes

• 📈 Market Indices Update

• 📢 Top 3 Market Stories

• 🔎 Rich & Powerful Are Buying

• 🔥 Underrated & Overrated Stocks

• 📊 One Chart

• 🚀 Biggest Market Movers

• 💡 Financial Term

📈 Market Indices Update

• S&P 500: ↑ 0.2% to 5,776.65 – Investors remained cautiously optimistic amid ongoing tariff discussions.

• Dow Jones: ↑ 0.1% to 42,587.50 – The index saw minimal movement as markets awaited further economic data.

• Nasdaq: ↑ 0.5% to 18,271.86 – Tech stocks led gains, buoyed by positive sentiment in the sector.

• Gold (Spot $/Oz): ↑ 0.1% to $3,025.66/oz – Safe-haven demand persisted due to tariff concerns.

• 10-Yr Treasury Yield: ↑ to 4.34% – Yields edged higher amid investor focus on economic indicators.

• EUR/USD: 1.081 (unchanged) – The euro remained stable against the dollar.

• USD/JPY: ¥149.90 (↓ 0.54%) – The yen strengthened as markets digested recent economic signals.

• Bitcoin: ↓ 0.15% to $87,940 – Experienced slight declines.

🔍 Summary: Markets exhibited modest gains as investors balanced optimism over potential tariff resolutions with caution ahead of upcoming economic data releases.

^{_{Data as of market close, 4:00pm ET}}

📢 Top 3 Market Stories You Should Care About

1️⃣ Consumer Confidence Just Hit a 12-Year Low (Source)

• 😟 Americans are more worried than ever—expectations for the economy have dropped to levels not seen since 2013.

• 📉 Consumers are less optimistic about income growth, jobs, and business conditions over the next 6 months.

• Market Reaction: Stocks held steady, but analysts are watching for signs of a spending slowdown.

🔎 Why It Matters: If consumers pull back, it could ripple across earnings reports, retail sales, and even rate cut timing. The vibes are off—even if the numbers look okay.

2️⃣ Eggs Are Basically Gold Right Now—Here’s the Receipts (Source)

• 🥚 The avg. price for a dozen eggs is $6, nearly double what it was a year ago—and the most expensive in decades.

• 📈 While wholesale prices are falling (from $8.53 to $3.93 in New York), retail prices haven’t caught up—partly due to Easter and inventory lag.

• 🐔 The culprit? Bird flu outbreaks, which have wiped out millions of hens and triggered three major price spikes in the past 10 years.

💡 Takeaway: Eggs were pretty chill price-wise for 30 years. Now, they're a poster child for how inflation, seasonal demand, and global supply chains are scrambling your grocery bill.

🥚 And yes, the USDA says egg prices could rise another 41% this year.

3️⃣ 23andMe Filed for Bankruptcy—What About Your DNA? (Source)

• 🧬 The genetic testing pioneer has filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy as user growth fizzled and lawsuits piled up.

• 🔐 The big question: What happens to the sensitive DNA data of millions of users?

• 📦 Its consumer business might be sold—meaning your genetic info could change hands.

😬 Why It Matters: This is a wake-up call for data privacy—especially when it involves your literal genetic code. Who owns your DNA… and what can they do with it?

🔎 What 5 Rich & Powerful Are Buying

📈 Warren Buffett – Berkshire Hathaway ($MITSY ( ▲ 0.53% ) , $SSUMY ( ▼ 0.99% ), $ITOCHY, $MARUY, $MSBHY)
→ Raised stakes in Japan’s top 5 trading houses to ~9.8% each
→ Focused on long-term value in global conglomerates with strong cash flows
→ Shares of all five companies surged on the news

📈 Daniel Durn – CFO, Adobe $ADBE ( ▼ 0.19% )
→ Bought 1,300 shares for a total of $507K
→ Rare insider buy after recent stock pressure
→ Adobe is a software leader in creative tools & enterprise AI

📉 Monster Beverage Insiders – $MNST ( ▲ 1.43% )
→ Sold: Insiders collectively offloaded shares worth ~$34 million
→ Follows a pattern of insider selling that may signal executive caution
→ Monster is a dominant player in the global energy drink market

📉 Amit Agarwal – Director, Datadog $DDOG ( ▼ 1.23% )
→ Sold 25,000 shares, totaling $2.63 million
→ Represents over 23% of his holdings
→ Datadog provides observability tools for cloud-scale applications

📈 Kecia Steelman – COO, Ulta Beauty $ULTA ( ▲ 1.01% )
→ Bought 1,440 shares, totaling $499,528
→ Recent insider buying after a period of stock volatility
→ Ulta is the largest U.S. beauty retailer with strong brand loyalty

🔥 Underrated Stock of the Week: $DIS ( ▲ 0.78% ) 

📚 Company Overview: Disney is a global entertainment powerhouse, operating theme parks, movie studios, TV networks, and streaming platforms like Disney+ and Hulu. With a deep brand portfolio and global reach, it's evolving into a modern media-technology hybrid.

📊 Key Financials & Metrics:

• Stock Price: $101.61

• P/E Ratio: 33x

• Market Cap: $183B

• EV/EBITDA: 14.3x

• Revenue Growth: +5% QoQ

• Quarterly EPS Growth: +34% YoY

• Net Profit Margin: 6%

• Debt-to-Equity (D/E): 0.42x

• ROE (Return on Equity): 5.9%

• Beta (Volatility): 1.4

• Analysts’ 12-Month Target: $126.3 (+24%)

• 30-Day Change: -8% | YTD Change: -8.75%

💪 Pros:

✔️ Strong financials – EPS jumped 35% and revenue hit $24.7B in Q1
✔️ Streaming growth – Disney+ and Hulu now boast 178M+ subs
✔️ Content wins – Hits like Moana 2 boosted media revenue and licensing income

💩 Cons:

❌ Legacy media drag – Linear TV and Hotstar ad revenue remain soft
❌ Weather disruptions – Hurricanes shaved ~$120M off theme park income

🔍 Why It’s Underrated:
Despite its household-name status, Disney still trades below its historical valuation multiples. With signs of a streaming turnaround, strong IP, and resilient park revenues, the market may be underestimating the upside. Add in a 24% EOY price target climb, and Mickey might just be back in business.

💰 Hot Take: Is $DKNG ( ▲ 2.49% ) Overhyped and Overvalued?

📚 Company Overview: DraftKings is a leading online sports betting and fantasy sports platform, rapidly expanding across the U.S. as more states legalize digital gambling. It also offers iGaming and is betting big on live in-game wagers and media partnerships.

📊 Key Financials & Metrics:

• Stock Price: $38.95

• P/E Ratio: N/A (Not profitable)

• Market Cap: $19.9B

• EV/EBITDA: -36x

• Quarterly Revenue Growth: +13.2% YoY

• EPS Growth: N/A (Still posting losses)

• Net Profit Margin: -10.6%

• Debt-to-Equity (D/E): 1.3x

• ROE: -55%

• Beta: 2.07

• Analysts’ 12-Month Target: $57.7 (+48%)

• 30-Day Change: -8% | YTD Change: -8.75%

🐂 Bull Case (Why It Could Keep Rising)

✔️ Revenue growth remains strong as more states legalize sports betting
✔️ User acquisition and market share expansion continue at a rapid pace

🐻 Bear Case (Why It Might Crash)

❌ Still unprofitable with negative margins and ROE
❌ Extremely high valuation with EV/EBITDA at -88x
❌ Faces regulatory risk and stiff competition from FanDuel, BetMGM, and Caesars

🔍 Takeaway:
DraftKings is growing fast—but with mounting losses and a frothy valuation, it may be priced for perfection in a high-risk sector. Proceed with caution.

📊 One Chart That Explains Everything

🧐 Takeaway: Streaming has officially taken over—while cord-cutting accelerates, platforms like Netflix, Disney+, and Max are pulling further ahead every year.

🚀 Biggest Market Movers

📈 Top Gainers

1. $DJT ( ▼ 0.99% ) – Trump Media & Technology Group
📢 the company will team up with Crypto.com to launch ETFs.

2. $MBLY ( ▲ 3.95% ) – Mobileye Global Inc.
🚗 Upgraded collaboration with key customer Volkswagen, which will implement Mobileye's new Surround ADAS

3. $EPAC ( ▲ 0.37% ) – Enerpac Tool Group
🛠️ The company beat earnings expectations and raised full-year guidance, signaling strong industrial demand.

📉 Top Losers – March 25, 2025

1. $UNF ( ▲ 0.28% ) – UniFirst Corp.
📉 Plunges as Cintas ends talks of acquisition.

2. $LUMN ( ▲ 5.53% )  – Lumen Technologies
📉 Stock fell as reports emerged of potential asset sales to AT&T at lower valuations than anticipated.

3. $PONY ( ▲ 5.72% ) – Pony.ai Inc. (ADR)
🤖 Investor concerns grew over delays in autonomous driving deployment and increased regulatory scrutiny in China.

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