๐Ÿงจ "The Week $6.6 Trillion Vanished"

Markets crash as tariffs trigger global chaos ๐ŸŒŽ | Billionaires bleed (except Buffett) ๐Ÿ’ธ | Corporate panic, IPO delays ๐Ÿšซ | Bitcoin holds ๐Ÿ’ช | CPI coming up ๐Ÿ“…

What just happened?

Markets suffered their worst week since 2020. A surprise U.S. tariff formula wiped out $6.6 trillion in just two daysโ€”more than the COVID crash. The Nasdaq fell into bear territory, the S&P 500 tumbled, and even safe havens swung wildly.

Companies hit pause, IPOs froze, and nations split: retaliate or deal. Amid the chaos, one man thrivedโ€”Warren Buffett, up $12.7B YTD with $170B in cash, as everyone else bled red.

๐Ÿ“ˆ Market Indices Update

WEEK-TO-DATE Performance:

  • S&P 500: โ†“ -9.1% to 5,074.08 โ€“ Suffered its worst weekly drop since 2020, driven by escalating U.S.-China trade tensions.

  • Dow Jones: โ†“ -7.9% to 38,314.86 โ€“ The Dow plunged into correction territory amid fears of a global recession.

  • Nasdaq: โ†“ -10% to 15,587.79 โ€“ Entering bear market territory.

  • Gold (Spot $/Oz): โ†“ -1% to $3,037.90/oz โ€“ Investors flocked to gold as a safe-haven asset.

  • 10-Yr Treasury Yield: โ†“ 4.8% to 4% โ€“ Yields fell below 4% due to recession concerns.

  • EUR/USD: 1.096 (+1.3%) โ€“ The euro strengthened on improved Eurozone economic data.

  • USD/JPY: ยฅ146.94 (-1.8%) โ€“ The yen strengthened as investors moved towards safe-haven currencies.

  • Bitcoin: โ†‘ 1.62% to $83,883 โ€“ Analysts suggest that Bitcoin's limited exposure to tariff-related economic disruptions.

The green stocks must be playing hide and seekโ€ฆ and winning.

Data as of market close, 4:00pm ET

๐Ÿ“ข Top 4 Market Stories You Should Care About

โ€‹1๏ธโƒฃ New Tariff Calculations Spark Market Turmoil

  • Tariff Calculation Example:

    • The U.S. introduced a formula for โ€œtariffsโ€:โ€‹

      • Tariff Rate = (Trade Deficit with Country / Country's Exports to U.S.) ร— 50%.

      • Minimum tariff set at 10%

      • Explore full list of tariffs by country

    • Example:

      • Country A has a $100B trade deficit with the U.S.

      • Exports $200B to the U.S.

      • Tariff = ($100B / $200B) ร— 50% = 25%.

  • Market Reaction:

    • In the two days following the announcement:โ€‹

      • S&P 500 dropped 10.5%.

      • Record $6.6T wiped from the market. (vs. $4.4T 2two-day Covid-19 pullback on March 12, 2020)

๐Ÿ”Ž Why It Matters: This new tariff approach increases global trade uncertainty, potentially leading to economic instability.

2๏ธโƒฃ Market Volatility and U.S. Debt Refinancing

  • Interest Rate Movements:

    • 10-year Treasury yield fell below 4%.โ€‹

    • Indicates increased demand for safe assets.โ€‹

  • Debt Refinancing Implications:

    • Lower yields allow the U.S. to refinance its $26 trillion debt at better rates.โ€‹

    • Avg. debt maturity is 72.3 months; benefits will unfold gradually.โ€‹

  • Federal Reserve Considerations:

    • Economic slowdown may pressure the Fed to cut interest rates.โ€‹

    • Balancing inflation concerns with growth stimulation is crucial.โ€‹

๐Ÿ”Ž Takeaway: Market fluctuations might help U.S. debt management, but broader economic effects require careful Fed actions.โ€‹

3๏ธโƒฃ Corporate Responses to Tariffs Disrupt Industries

  • Technology Sector:

    • Klarna paused its U.S. IPO plans due to market instability.

    • StubHub delayed investor presentations amid uncertainty.โ€‹

    • Chime postponed its public offering plans.โ€‹

    • eToro delayed investor presentations.โ€‹

  • Apparel Industry:

  • Automotive Sector:

  • Engineering Firms:

    • WIWA in Germany faces 20% tariffs on European imports.โ€‹

  • Oil Services:

    • U.S. firms anticipate financial hits from new tariffs and fast declining oil prices.โ€‹

  • Financial Sector:

๐Ÿ”Ž Key Question: How will companies adapt their operations and supply chains to escalating trade barriers?

4๏ธโƒฃ International Responses to U.S. Tariffs

๐Ÿ”ด Countries Retaliating or Planning to Retaliate

๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ China
- Imposed a 34% tariff on U.S. goods
- Restricted exports of rare-earth elements

๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ EU
- Preparing countermeasures, including potential tariffs on up to โ‚ฌ26B in U.S. goods

๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Canada
- Announced 25% retaliatory tariffs on U.S. steel and aluminum (worth ~$29.8B)

๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ต Japan, ๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡ท South Korea, ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ China
- Agreed to jointly respond to U.S. tariffs through regional coordination

๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ท Turkey
- Announced plans to impose retaliatory tariffs on select U.S. goods

๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ Russia
- Expressed strong opposition; reviewing potential response options

๐ŸŸข Countries Seeking to Make a Deal or Avoid Escalation

๐Ÿ‡ป๐Ÿ‡ณ Vietnam
- Announced concessions
- Increased U.S. purchases (e.g. $200M aircraft financing deal with Boeing)

๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ India
- Open to cutting tariffs on over 50% of U.S. imports (~$23B worth)
- Aims to protect ~$66B in Indian exports

๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ท Argentina
- Pursuing a trade deal to strengthen U.S. relations

๐Ÿ‡ฒ๐Ÿ‡ฝ Mexico
- Exploring tariff reductions to ease tensions and prevent further escalation

๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ Israel
- U.S. imposed 17% tariffs on Israeli goods despite Israel lowering tariffs on U.S. imports
- Engaged in high-level talks with the U.S. (despite facing tariffs)

๐Ÿ”Ž Why It Matters:
This split shows two emerging blocs: one resisting U.S. protectionism through retaliation, and another trying to maintain favorable access to the American market. The global trade landscape is shiftingโ€”and fast.

๐Ÿ’ธ Top 10 Billionaires & Their Market Moves

Here's how the richest people on Earth are riding (or wrecked by) the market right now:

๐Ÿšจ Massive Wealth Wipeout Across Tech Titans

๐ŸŸข But One Man Is Beating the Bear...

Warren Buffett is up $12.7B YTD โ€“ the only one in the green!

  • His legendary cash pile at Berkshire Hathaway is nearing $170B, giving him serious buying power while others panic.

  • $BRK.B ( โ–ฒ 0.1% ) stock surged this week as investors fled tech and piled into safe-haven value plays.

  • Buffettโ€™s bets on energy, insurance, and staples are holding up better than growth names.

YTD performance BRK.B +8.9 vs. S&P500 - 13.5%

๐Ÿ”Ž Takeaway:
Even billionaires are bleedingโ€”except Buffett. His cash-heavy, value-driven strategy is shining in a stormy market. Might be time to ask: What would Warren buy? ๐Ÿ’ฐ

๐Ÿš€ Biggest Market Movers

๐Ÿ“ˆ Top 5 Winners

1. $DECK ( โ–ผ 3.62% ) โ€“ Deckers Outdoor
UGG sales heating up.

2. $DHI ( โ–ผ 1.46% ) โ€“ D.R. Horton
Homebuilders rally on rate optimism.

3. $LULU ( โ–ผ 0.94% ) โ€“ Lululemon
Sees stock boost following U.S.-Vietnam tariff talks

4. $MSTR ( โ–ฒ 0.4% ) โ€“ MicroStrategy
Bitcoin boost = happy HODLers.

5. $NKE ( โ–ผ 1.04% ) โ€“ Nike
Sees stock boost following U.S.-Vietnam tariff talks

๐Ÿ“‰ Top 3 Losers

1. $APP ( โ–ผ 3.23% ) โ€“ Applovin
Latest bidder to buy TikTokโ€™s assets outside China.

2. $MU ( โ–ฒ 0.83% ) โ€“ Micron
Chip market = pain.

3. $PLTR ( โ–ผ 1.55% ) โ€“ Palantir
Facing pressure from ongoing trade war.

4. $GE ( โ–ฒ 0.22% ) โ€“ General Electric
Industrial slowdown hits hard.

5. $BA ( โ–ฒ 1.64% ) โ€“ Boeing
Tariffs and order cuts weigh.

๐Ÿ’น Next Week in Review

๐ŸŒŽ Key Economic Events

  • Thu: CPI (March), Jobless Claims

  • Fri: PPI (March)

  • Fed speeches & FOMC Minutes scattered through the week

๐Ÿ“Š Earnings to Watch

  • Tue: $LEVI

  • Wed: $DAL

  • Thu: $JPM, $WFC, $C, $BLK, $BK

๐Ÿ’ก Video of the Week:

๐ŸŽ™๏ธ Scott Bessent on Tucker Carlson
(Watch it 1min30 โ†’ link)

๐Ÿ’ฌ โ€œThe stock market is incredibly top-heavy.โ€

๐Ÿ“Š Equity Distribution Breakdown:

  • Top 10% of Americans own 88% of the stock market

  • Next 40% own the remaining 12%

  • Bottom 50% own virtually none โ€” they carry debt (credit cards, rent, auto loans)

๐Ÿ”Ž Why It Matters:
Bessent argues that to maintain stability, we need to relieve the financial pressure on the bottom half โ€” because theyโ€™re not riding the market wave, theyโ€™re just trying to stay afloat.

Thanks for reading and staying ahead of the market with us. Stay smart with your money. See you in the next edition! ๐Ÿ‘Š๐Ÿ’ก

โ€” Dan

Disclaimer & Important Notice: This newsletter is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. The content is based on publicly available information and our analysis but should not be considered a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Market Cheat Sheet makes no guarantees regarding accuracy, completeness, or timeliness. Readers should conduct their own research and consult a licensed financial professional before making investment decisions. We are not responsible for any financial losses resulting from reliance on this content. Additionally, we are not affiliated with any mentioned companies, stocks, or individuals unless explicitly stated. By reading this newsletter, you acknowledge that Market Cheat Sheet is not liable for any investment decisions or outcomes.

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