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  • Wall Streetโ€™s on Fire ๐Ÿ”ฅ: Jobs Boom, Tariff Drama, and Appleโ€™s $110B Power Play

Wall Streetโ€™s on Fire ๐Ÿ”ฅ: Jobs Boom, Tariff Drama, and Appleโ€™s $110B Power Play

Markets rally on tech, jobs and tariff ease; $AAPL warns on tariffs; DexCom, $PLTR surge; $TSLA still looks pricey; GDP forecasts cut; key earnings ahead.

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๐Ÿ“ˆ Market Indices Update (Week-to-Date)

  • S&P 500: โ†‘ 2.92% to 5,697.78 โ€“ Posted its longest winning streak in 20+ years as earnings and trade optimism lifted sentiment.

  • Dow Jones: โ†‘ 3.00% to 41,185.41 โ€“ Strong jobs data and blue-chip strength pushed the index to new highs.

  • Nasdaq: โ†‘ 3.44% to 18,028.00 โ€“ Big Tech led the charge after solid earnings and easing macro worries.

  • Gold (Spot $/Oz): โ†“ 1.57% to $3,231.90/oz โ€“ Investors rotated out of safe havens amid risk-on appetite.

  • 10-Yr Treasury Yield: โ†‘ 0.05% to 4.317% โ€“ Yields climbed on strong labor data and growth confidence.

  • EUR/USD: 1.1301 (-0.33%) โ€“ Euro loses as U.S. dollar gain .

  • USD/JPY: ยฅ144.72 (โˆ’0.45%) โ€“ Yen edged higher as traders digested rate differentials and inflation data.

  • Bitcoin: โ†‘ 3.52% to $97,057 โ€“ Continued upward momentum brought BTC closer to the $100K mark.

week-to-date

๐Ÿ” Summary

Markets climbed sharply as investors cheered strong U.S. jobs data, tech earnings, and hopes for renewed U.S.-China trade dialogue. S&P 500 rose for a ninth day in a raw, its longest winning streak since 11/2024 !

Data as of market close, 4:00pm ET

๐Ÿ“ข Top 3 Market Stories You Should Care About

โ€‹1๏ธโƒฃ U.S. Job Growth Surprises to the Upside (Source)

  • April added 177,000 jobs, beating expectations of 130,000.

  • Unemployment held at 4.2%, while wages rose 3.8% YoY.

  • Healthcare and transportation led hiring; manufacturing lagged slightly.

  • Market Reaction: Stocks rallied on the data, supporting the weekโ€™s gains across indices.

๐Ÿ”Ž Why It Matters: Strong job growth reinforces confidence in the U.S. economy despite global uncertainty.

2๏ธโƒฃ Apple Warns of $900M Hit from Tariffs (Source)

  • Apple says tariffs could cost $900M per quarter if implemented.

  • Slashed share buyback program by $10B to offset potential losses.

  • Price hikes may be passed to consumers, says Tim Cook.

  • Market Reaction: $AAPL ( โ–ฒ 0.53% ) stock dipped after the announcement, pressuring the tech sector.

๐Ÿ”Ž Key Question: Will rising trade costs dent Big Tech profits and consumer demand?

3๏ธโƒฃ China Signals Openness to U.S. Trade Talks (Source)

  • China responded positively to the 90-day U.S. tariff pause.

  • Beijing hinted at resuming negotiations, contingent on U.S. flexibility.

  • Other countries also received temporary tariff exemptions.

  • Market Reaction: Global markets rose on renewed trade optimism.

๐Ÿ”Ž Takeaway: Fresh hopes for U.S.-China diplomacy boosted investor sentiment and risk appetite.

๐Ÿ”Ž What 5 Rich & Powerful Are Buying

๐Ÿ“ˆ Gary Dickerson โ€“ CEO, Applied Materials - $AMAT ( โ–ผ 0.25% ) 
โ†’ Bought 50,000 shares, valued at ~$7M
โ†’ Purchase follows a 15% dip in $AMAT stock
โ†’ Signals insider confidence in long-term chip sector recovery

๐Ÿ Apple โ€“ Fresh Share Buyback Push - $AAPL ( โ–ฒ 0.53% ) 
โ†’ Executing $110 billion share repurchase plan, the largest in its history
โ†’ Announced alongside stronger-than-expected earnings and iPad relaunch
โ†’ Aims to boost EPS and reward shareholders amid flat revenue growth

๐Ÿ“‰ Jeff Bezos โ€“ Founder, Amazon - $AMZN ( โ–ฒ 0.51% ) 
โ†’ Filed to sell up to $4.8 billion in Amazon shares
โ†’ Part of a pre-arranged 10b5-1 plan disclosed with the SEC
โ†’ Stock remains near 52-week highs after a strong Q1 earnings beat

๐Ÿ’Š Pony.ai โ€“ Upcoming IPO Lock-Up Expiration - $PONY ( โ–ฒ 5.72% ) 
โ†’ Lock-up on 20M shares expires May 26, 2025
โ†’ Insiders may begin selling post-lockup, increasing volatility
โ†’ Investors should watch volumes and price action that week


๐Ÿ“‰ Jayme Mendal โ€“ CEO, EverQuote - $EVER ( โ–ฒ 0.3% ) 
โ†’ Sold 65,117 shares, worth approximately $1.83 million
โ†’ Represents 9.5% of his holdings in this class of stock
โ†’ Disclosed in recent SEC filings under a planned sale program

๐Ÿ’ฐ Hot Take: Is $TSLA Overvalued in 2025?

๐Ÿ“š Company Overview: Tesla Inc. ($TSLA ( โ–ฒ 4.72% )) is a leading electric vehicle (EV) manufacturer and clean energy company. Despite its pioneering role in the EV market, Tesla faces increasing competition and market saturation.

๐Ÿ“Š Key Financials & Metrics:

  • Stock Price: $287.21

  • Market Cap: $925B

  • P/E Ratio: 165.3x

  • EV/EBITDA: 64.6x

  • Quarterly Revenue Growth (YoY): -9%

  • Quarterly EPS Growth (YoY):-70%

  • Net Profit Margin: 6.4%

  • Debt-to-Equity (D/E): 0.17x

  • ROE (Return on Equity): 8.8%

  • Beta (Volatility): 2.6

  • Analystsโ€™ 12-Month Target: $289.44 (0.8%)

  • 30-Day Change: +1.6% | YTD Change: -29%

๐Ÿ‚ Bull Case (Why It Could Keep Rising)
โœ”๏ธ Strong brand loyalty and expanding global presence.
โœ”๏ธ Innovations in battery technology and energy solutions.
โœ”๏ธ Elon Musk factor, best CEO of our generation, driving vision and execution

๐Ÿป Bear Case (Why It Might Decline)
โŒ High valuation multiples compared to industry peers.
โŒ Slowing growth rates amidst increasing competition
โŒ Macroeconomic factors like rising interest rates affecting consumer spending.

๐Ÿ” Takeaway: While Tesla remains a dominant player in the EV market, its high valuation and decelerating growth raise concerns about its current stock price being overvalued.

Gold hitting record highs

The price of gold keeps heating up. If the record-breaking year of 2024 wasn't enough, gold hit a major historic 2025 milestone by crossing the $3,000/ounce threshold!

Here are 3 Key Reasons:

  1. Looming economic & political uncertainty

  2. Increasing central bank demand

  3. Rising National Debt - over $36 Trillion

So, could gold surge even higher?

According to a recent statement from Jeffrey Gundlach, famed American business man and investorโ€ฆ โ€œGold continues its bull market that weโ€™ve been talking about for a couple of years, ever since it was down to $1,800.โ€ He expects gold to reach $4,000/oz.

Is it time you learn more about precious metals?

Get all the answers in your free 2025 Gold & Silver Kit. Plus, if you request your free kit today, you could qualify for up to 10% Instant Match in Bonus Silver*.

*Offer valid on qualified orders of Goldco premium products only. Receive up to 10% in free silver based on purchase amount; cannot be combined with other offers. Additional terms applyโ€”see your customer agreement or contact your representative for details.

๐ŸŒŽ Chart of the Week: Global Growth Forecasts Slashed

Following Trumpโ€™s April 2025 tariff escalation, global growth expectations just took a major hit.

๐Ÿ“‰ The IMF cut its 2025 global GDP forecast from 3.3% โ†’ 2.8% โ€” with Mexico and the U.S. hit hardest. ๐Ÿ‡ฒ๐Ÿ‡ฝ Mexico was hit the hardest, while ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ Russia was the only upgrade.

Growth projection changed (Jan โ†’ Apr 2025)
Source: IMF via Visual Capitalist)

๐Ÿ” Why It Matters:
New U.S. tariffs raised the avg. effective rate to 14.5%, the highest in 90 years. Trade uncertainty is now a top global risk, especially for export-heavy economies like Mexico.

๐Ÿš€ Biggest Market Movers

๐Ÿ“ˆ Top 3 Winners

๐Ÿ“‰ Top 3 Losers

๐ŸŒ Whatโ€™s Moving Markets This Week

๐ŸŒ Key Economic Events

  • Mon, May 5: ISM Services PMI (US)

  • Tue, May 6: U.S. Trade Balance

  • Wed, May 7: Eurozone Retail Sales

  • Thu, May 8: Bank of England Rate Decision + U.S. Initial Jobless Claims

๐Ÿ’ผ Earnings to Watch

  • Mon, May 5: Palantir ($PLTR) , Pfizer ($PFE)

  • Tue, May 6: Uber ($UBER) , AMD ($AMD)

  • Wed, May 7: Disney ($DIS) , Coinbase ($COIN)

  • Thu, May 8: Occidental Petroleum ($OXY) , Pinterest ($PINS)

๐Ÿ“ˆ ETF Spotlight

๐Ÿ”ฅ Hottest ETF This Week: $SMH ( โ–ฒ 0.65% )  (VanEck Semiconductor ETF)

Price: $219.03 USD
Top Holdings: Nvidia ($NVDA ( โ–ผ 0.61% )), AMD ($AMD ( โ–ฒ 1.12% )), Broadcom ($AVGO ( โ–ฒ 0.21% ))
30-Day Change: +2.3% | YTD Change: -10.5%

Why Itโ€™s Surging:

  • AI chip demand continues to drive growth in the semiconductor sector.

  • Strong earnings reports from major chipmakers and chip users have boosted investor sentiment.

๐Ÿš€ New ETF to Watch: $XAR ( โ–ผ 0.8% )  (SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF)

๐Ÿ“Š Whatโ€™s Happening?

  • Rising global tensions have boosted demand for defense spending.

  • Bidenโ€™s latest defense budget proposal includes a record $900B.

  • $XAR is outperforming broader industrial ETFs amid sector rotation into defense and aerospace.

Thanks for reading and staying ahead of the market with us. Stay smart with your money. See you in the next edition! ๐Ÿ‘Š๐Ÿ’ก

โ€” Dan

Disclaimer & Important Notice: This newsletter is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. The content is based on publicly available information and our analysis but should not be considered a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Market Cheat Sheet makes no guarantees regarding accuracy, completeness, or timeliness. Readers should conduct their own research and consult a licensed financial professional before making investment decisions. We are not responsible for any financial losses resulting from reliance on this content. Additionally, we are not affiliated with any mentioned companies, stocks, or individuals unless explicitly stated. By reading this newsletter, you acknowledge that Market Cheat Sheet is not liable for any investment decisions or outcomes.

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